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Is the IPv4 Shortage Finally Over?

mustafamw3mustafamw3 Member, Patron Provider, LIR

According to ARIN's latest announcement on October 7, 2026, they fulfilled 483 IPv4 waiting list requests using 577 available IPv4 blocks.

What's interesting is that there are now only 64 requests remaining on the waiting list.

At this rate, it looks like organizations applying for IPv4 space today could potentially receive their allocations as early as the next quarterly distribution, assuming sufficient blocks become available.

That's quite a change from the days when organizations had to wait years for IPv4 allocations.

What do you think? Could we see IPv4 prices and leasing rates decline if this trend continues?

Source: https://www.arin.net/announcements/20261007/

Waiting list: https://www.arin.net/resources/guide/ipv4/waiting_list/

Thanked by 2zejjnt WyvernCo

Comments

  • tentortentor Member, Host Rep

    Only if RIPE fixes their waitlist too, but won't defer shortage by much. IPv6 is the only future proof option.

  • @tentor said:
    Only if RIPE fixes their waitlist too, but won't defer shortage by much. IPv6 is the only future proof option.

    but still you can featuring your IP ranges on https://ipye.com 🗣

  • tentortentor Member, Host Rep

    @mans_xd said:

    @tentor said:
    Only if RIPE fixes their waitlist too, but won't defer shortage by much. IPv6 is the only future proof option.

    but still you can featuring your IP ranges on https://ipye.com 🗣

    nah I'm fine

  • TrKTrK Veteran

    @tentor said:
    IPv6 is the only future proof option.

    @yoursunny says IPv9 is the future.

    Thanked by 1yoursunny
  • @tentor said:

    @mans_xd said:

    @tentor said:
    Only if RIPE fixes their waitlist too, but won't defer shortage by much. IPv6 is the only future proof option.

    but still you can featuring your IP ranges on https://ipye.com 🗣

    nah I'm fine

  • Ipv4 is fucked
    Ipv6 is shit format but every cow on earth can have a subnet...
    Ipv9 is the future

  • TrKTrK Veteran

    Oh come to think of there was something IPv8 in the drafts, what's going on with that now?

  • @TrK said: there was something IPv8 in the drafts, what's going on with that now?

    For what? You can allocate an IPv6 for each grain of sand on earth, or to every planet
    in the observable universe.

    Thanked by 1BasToTheMax
  • forestforest Member
    edited October 10

    @DeadlyChemist said:
    Ipv4 is fucked
    Ipv6 is shit format but every cow on earth can have a subnet...
    Ipv9 is the future

    https://racknerd.thechemicalworkshop.com/ (from your signature):

    >Racknend
    >Rackwerd
    >Racknewed
    >Rackknenker
    >Rackenande!
    >Racknerle
    >RackinerD
    >Rarkerneniner
    >Rarkecuticeles

    ohno

    Help.

  • @TrK said:
    Oh come to think of there was something IPv8 in the drafts, what's going on with that now?

    That was a shitpost

    Thanked by 2forest tentor
  • @TrK said:

    @tentor said:
    IPv6 is the only future proof option.

    @yoursunny says IPv9 is the future.

    I parked on 69. Waiting for yall to catch up. Hope you take forever

    Thanked by 1yoursunny
  • @forest said:

    @DeadlyChemist said:
    Ipv4 is fucked
    Ipv6 is shit format but every cow on earth can have a subnet...
    Ipv9 is the future

    https://racknerd.thechemicalworkshop.com/ (from your signature):

    >Racknend
    >Rackwerd
    >Racknewed
    >Rackknenker
    >Rackenande!
    >Racknerle
    >RackinerD
    >Rarkerneniner
    >Rarkecuticeles

    ohno

    Help.

    Too late for help my guy... too late...

  • FourplexFourplex Member, Patron Provider
    edited October 12

    Too bad we're in a two-year IPv4 contract with Prefix Broker. The exchange rate alone is paunful.

    We pay them ~$600/mo for two /23s. But unlike Cogent, PB doesn't charge an abuse fee for when a malicious customer joins (not that I condone abuse, I don't).

  • servuryservury Member, Patron Provider

    ARIN truly came in clutch with October 7th. Our piece of the pie is 69.80.225.0/24.

  • I hold two ARIN /24 blocks—one of which came from the waiting list—but there appear to be restrictions preventing them from being leased out. I am considering whether or not to keep them.

  • SwiftnodeSwiftnode Member, Patron Provider, LIR

    @Anpassda said:
    I hold two ARIN /24 blocks—one of which came from the waiting list—but there appear to be restrictions preventing them from being leased out. I am considering whether or not to keep them.

    I'm not aware of restrictions preventing them from being leased out, but intent to lease out the prefix can't be used as justification to enter the waiting list. Excerpt below from John Sweeting's comments at a members meeting.

    The ARIN region does not have any policies that specifically allow leasing. I’d say we probably don’t have any specific policies that specifically don’t allow leasing.

    It’s kind of been a gray area we’ve talked about and walked around for several years. But ARIN does not consider leasing to be efficient needs-based utilization for approving a recipient transfer request under the Number Resource Policy Manual 8.3/8.4 transfer policies. And we do not consider leasing to be efficient needs-based utilization for the purpose of qualifying to receive address space from the IPv4 Waiting List. (src)

    Also, it's important to note that prefixes obtained from the waiting list can't be transferred for 5 years. If you don't have a need for them, and you're years from being able to transfer them, it may be worth considering relinquishing them back to the available pool so that another waiting list slot can be fulfilled.

    Thanked by 2servury WyvernCo
  • Data point from the RIPE side, since I just went through it as a new LIR: about a year and a half of waiting for a single /24, which landed on October 5th. So the RIPE list does move, but at one /24 per new member it won't do anything to prices.

    A few things worth knowing if you're still in the queue:

    While the block sat unused I put an AS0 ROA on it so nobody could hijack it. Worth doing, but replace it with your real ROA before you announce, or the route is RPKI-invalid everywhere.

    It's recycled space. The previous holder announced it until March, a few IPs were still on a smaller blocklist, and some geo-IP databases showed the old holder's country a week after the allocation. Check both before you put customers on it, and add a geofeed: to the inetnum.

  • how much for any region PI v6? any offers? asn,v4 and v6 PA already

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