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How long till we actually run out of ipv4 addresses, or there price starts getting outrageous? - Page 2
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How long till we actually run out of ipv4 addresses, or there price starts getting outrageous?

2

Comments

  • deadbeefdeadbeef Member
    edited April 2017

    @jarland said:

    deadbeef said: "Self-regulated free markets" is redundant to simply "free markets"

    I agree I just think it lands on certain ears better that way. Too many people believe free market means no regulation, but you and I know that it's just a different kind of regulation, so it pushes beyond that preconceived notion and skips a conversation step by making the initial preparation to invalidate a predicted response. It's all about creative phrasing.

    I see. But that way, you expose your argument to an easy attack: "but the market does not protect X, so it needs someone to come in and force it", where X is the whatever current-year favorite pet peeve of the centralist.

    In that, you'll have to either try "but it does" acrobatics - which probably aren't true enough - or to say "X isn't special because", which is a much strenuous thing to argue than the original position.

    All that said, in essence we agree: Rigor vs glossing is a trade-off between longer time/effort and available openings.

    Thanked by 1jar
  • raindog308raindog308 Administrator, Veteran

    Wow, verbal masturbation about regulatory effects on market dynamics.

    You guys must be insanely bored. Try some porn.

  • jarjar Patron Provider, Top Host, Veteran

    raindog308 said: You guys must be insanely bored. Try some porn.

    Just remember that half of my posts are made on the toilet.

  • WSSWSS Member

    @jarland said:

    raindog308 said: You guys must be insanely bored. Try some porn.

    Just remember that half of my posts are made on the toilet.

    My own. Personal. USENET.
    My place to def-i-cate. Ain't it great?

    Thanked by 1jar
  • FranciscoFrancisco Top Host, Host Rep, Veteran

    @jarland said:

    raindog308 said: You guys must be insanely bored. Try some porn.

    Just remember that half of my posts are made on the toilet.

    Francisco

    Thanked by 2jar Ole_Juul
  • edited April 2017

    Prices are already outrageous! $9+ per ip seems pretty standard and that really adds up considering a block originally cost $500 a year from ARIN. IPv6 has come along way and could make NAT a thing of the past if properly implemented. A lot of home internet providers are offering ipv6 and most website are accessible using it.

  • westplainshosting said: Prices are already outrageous! $9+ per ip seems pretty standard and that really adds up considering they originally cost $500 a year from ARIN

    You have no idea how ARIN works. You do not pay for IPs and SHOULD NOT pay for IPs, only for the account and a fee on size (at times).

    9$/IP also was the same price 4 years ago, nothing changed, only on larger scale it gets cheaper (/16 = 5-6$).

  • WilliamWilliam Member
    edited April 2017

    raindog308 said: And zero motivation to change because, well, it's the government.

    They can be forced to return however, easier than normal entities - DISA (also known as "MILNIC") had different rules than INTERNIC then (and existed before).

  • @William said:

    You have no idea how ARIN works. You do not pay for IPs and SHOULD NOT pay for IPs, only for the account and a fee on size (at times).

    9$/IP also was the same price 4 years ago, nothing changed, only on larger scale it gets cheaper (/16 = 5-6$).

    arin charges a fee depended on the size of block you get. If that is not paying for IPs what would you call that?

  • WilliamWilliam Member
    edited April 2017

    westplainshosting said: If that is not paying for IPs what would you call that?

    A management fee, just like ARIN does. This also does not apply to legacy ranges and there are ways around it (eg. being in a least developed country eg. Bermuda).

  • Diamonds are stupidly priced yet they are still here.

  • trewqtrewq Administrator, Patron Provider
    edited April 2017

    Janevski said: Diamonds are stupidly priced yet they are still here.

    That's only due to the industry creating an artificial supply issue with an amazing marketing scheme. I get the association you were trying to make but it doesn't apply.

  • The world will end and we will all be zombies. Strolling around going, "We need IPv4" instead of brains. It will be almost like Z-Nation, and there will be one guy who can save the world with more IPv4.

  • qpsqps Member, Host Rep

    trewq said: amazing marketing scheme

    IPv4 are forever.

    Thanked by 2trewq Francisco
  • raindog308raindog308 Administrator, Veteran

    AuroraZ said: The world will end and we will all be zombies. Strolling around going, "We need IPv4" instead of brains. It will be almost like Z-Nation, and there will be one guy who can save the world with more IPv4.

    "RIPE announced a new /29 was available..."

    image

  • ClouviderClouvider Member, Patron Provider

    @raindog308 a /29 ;-)?

  • FranciscoFrancisco Top Host, Host Rep, Veteran

    @Clouvider said:
    @raindog308 a /29 ;-)?

    2030 -- the routing table breaks 8 million records.

    Francisco

  • ClouviderClouvider Member, Patron Provider
    edited April 2017

    @Francisco said:

    @Clouvider said:
    @raindog308 a /29 ;-)?

    2030 -- the routing table breaks 8 million records.

    Francisco

    That still not that bad - newer routers support I. Excess of 10 million :p

    But would take hours to reconvergence even without routing policies

  • FranciscoFrancisco Top Host, Host Rep, Veteran

    @Clouvider said:

    @Francisco said:

    @Clouvider said:
    @raindog308 a /29 ;-)?

    2030 -- the routing table breaks 8 million records.

    Francisco

    That still not that bad - newer routers support I. Excess of 10 million :p

    Fair point ;)

    Francisco

  • AbdussamadAbdussamad Member
    edited April 2017

    Ole_Juul said: My little local ISP has lots of extra because they don't actually need more than a few since they've been using CGN from the start.

    In Pakistan we have nationwide ISPs who use CGN and they have millions, soon to be tens of millions, of customers. They've gone from nothing to millions of customers within a couple of years so they had to use NAT.

    Ole_Juul said: And then there's MIT recently giving up half their /8.

    Yes this is what people forget about price increases. When prices go up it encourages new supply to come on to the market. There are many US universities hoarding ipv4 addresses and now they'll be thinking about selling them too.

  • MaherMaher Member

    Projected RIR Address Pool Exhaustion Dates:
    RIR Projected Exhaustion Date Remaining Addresses in RIR Pool (/8s)
    APNIC: 19-Apr-2011 (actual) 0.3932
    RIPE NCC: 14-Sep-2012 (actual) 0.7397
    LACNIC: 10-Jun-2014 (actual) 0.2296
    ARIN: 24 Sep-2015 (actual)
    AFRINIC: 27-May-2018 0.8998

  • @raindog308 said:
    Wow, verbal masturbation about regulatory effects on market dynamics.

    You guys must be insanely bored. Try some porn.

    Here's a new word for you.

    Thanked by 1Ole_Juul
  • raindog308raindog308 Administrator, Veteran

    @Clouvider said:
    @raindog308 a /29 ;-)?

    I confess I'm not super IP-literate but I googled for the smallest block RIPE will assign and it's apparently a /29:

    https://www.ripe.net/publications/docs/ripe-555

    Entirely possible I misinterpreted.

  • If you're OVH in Europe... today is that day! :(

  • qpsqps Member, Host Rep

    Abdussamad said: hoarding ipv4 addresses

    I anticipate that during the next recession we will see lots of schools, government agencies, and big companies with large IP allocations trying to plug the holes in their budgets by selling excess IP addresses.

  • FranciscoFrancisco Top Host, Host Rep, Veteran

    @michaels said:
    If you're OVH in Europe... today is that day! :(

    I'm sure they'll buy another /16 soon enough. Problem is that there's only so much spare space floating around for a price they're willing to pay.

    Francisco

  • Janevski said: Diamonds are stupidly priced yet they are still here.

    Yes, yes. I admit - it's us Jews. No really, we have Botswana mine them, De Beers stores them in hure storage areas and sells them to large jewish brokers "cheap" and we make up the price.

    But hey, if they buy? Why not.... i do not plan on buying any diamond ring for our marriage.

    Abdussamad said: In Pakistan we have nationwide ISPs who use CGN and they have millions, soon to be tens of millions, of customers. They've gone from nothing to millions of customers within a couple of years so they had to use NAT.

    No, they do not need to use NAT - APNIC has the coutry scheme where the country can obtain a VERY large range easily, eg. Chinese carriers have multiple /11.

    Abdussamad said: There are many US universities hoarding ipv4 addresses and now they'll be thinking about selling them too.

    If they can. This is not so simple as you make it sound, both legal and technical.

    Francisco said: I'm sure they'll buy another /16 soon enough. Problem is that there's only so much spare space floating around for a price they're willing to pay.

    Yup. And what my contacts have goes to another certain EU ISP not near from OVH very shortly... because they pay better. Easy made 30k$ commission :)

  • @Francisco said:
    I'm sure they'll buy another /16 soon enough. Problem is that there's only so much spare space floating around for a price they're willing to pay.

    Francisco

    I totally agree. The cynic inside me says that some of this is just a hedging ploy. I suspect that IP 4 /16 blocks will get more expensive and I also suspect that providers will start putting the prices up before it happens.

  • FranciscoFrancisco Top Host, Host Rep, Veteran
    edited April 2017

    @michaels said:
    I totally agree. The cynic inside me says that some of this is just a hedging ploy. I suspect that IP 4 /16 blocks will get more expensive and I also suspect that providers will start putting the prices up before it happens.

    At this point providers like OVH should be trying to buy as much as they can ASAP just to try to beat the prices floating up. If they only buy when they need, the market will be draining around them.

    As @william has said, $6 per IP on a /16 isn't uncommon... for now. In a year or two it'll be $8 or more.

    Francisco

  • @AuroraZ said:
    The world will end and we will all be zombies. Strolling around going, "We need IPv4" instead of brains. It will be almost like Z-Nation, and there will be one guy who can save the world with more IPv4.

    ChrisG?

    Thanked by 1Ole_Juul
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