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Octave Klaba (OVH) predicts +5-10% cloud price increase in 2026 due to rising RAM/NVMe costs

loayloay Member

Saw this thread from Octave Klaba recently and thought it was worth sharing here.

He estimates that cloud product prices will increase by about +5% to +10% between April and September 2026 due to supply chain shifts due toward AI/GPU memory production.

At OVHcloud, we estimate that the same server produced in Dec 2025 and Dec 2026 will cost between +15% and +35% more.

In the meantime, until June 2026, the global supply chain is anticipating this price increase by receiving components 6 months earlier, at a lower price, which allows production for 6-12 months at a lower price vs the true market price. But this defensive move still causes component prices to rise starting in Dec 2025.

In short, the impact of AI on the Cloud: the price of certain Cloud products will increase by about +5 to +10% between April and September 2026. These are estimates based on the information we have as of November 2025. This could accelerate.

Thanked by 1fredo1664

Comments

  • MikeAMikeA Member, Patron Provider

    Only +15-30%? It's what happens when hardware cost go up 100-200%.

    Thanked by 1dodheimsgard
  • ascicodeascicode Member
    edited November 2025

    Due to black friday. Next year its fine.
    Until it hits kimsufi, hardware is that old, no one cares about.

  • @ascicode said:
    Due to black friday. Next year its fine.
    Until it hits kimsufi, hardware is that old, no one cares about.

    Kimsufi is what most people here on LET care about anyway.

  • NeoonNeoon Community Contributor, Veteran

    I doubt, that nearly EOL servers on Kimsufi, will see any price increase, related to increasing memory prices.

    Thanked by 1barbarza
  • fiberstatefiberstate Member, Patron Provider

    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    Thanked by 1nghialele
  • SaragoldfarbSaragoldfarb Member, Megathread Squad

    @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    @plumberg

    See? Told ya, them atoms are a true bargain!

  • @Saragoldfarb said:

    @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    @plumberg

    See? Told ya, them atoms are a true bargain!

    I saw OneProvider sell atom products hard

  • @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    That would be great. Empty remaining DDR3 inventory. Send in your DDR3 sticks for warranty replacement and when they can't replace it they'll send DDR4 replacement.

  • @nghialele said:

    @Saragoldfarb said:

    @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    @plumberg

    See? Told ya, them atoms are a true bargain!

    I saw OneProvider sell atom products hard

    yea they sell a bunch of scaleway atom servers

    Thanked by 1plumberg
  • FourplexFourplex Member, Host Rep

    I've been freaking about about the RAM prices also. While we aren't at capacity, when we do so it'll cost $3500-4000 for servers which once cost $2500.

    OpenAI and Google should pay for my RAM :D.

    Thanked by 1itzgeo
  • I just realised I’ve got some DDR3 and DDR4 sticks just lying around 🤔

  • The RAM I have in my PC now costs 300% of it's price... HDD's went up 30% in price, I just wanted a NAS :c

  • SaragoldfarbSaragoldfarb Member, Megathread Squad

    @barbarza said:
    I just realised I’ve got some DDR3 and DDR4 sticks just lying around 🤔

    Better move that to a safe

    Thanked by 2fiberstate itzgeo
  • At this point DDR4 and DDR5 is same price on Amazon that I am forcing myself to buy DDR5.

  • @magicvpn said:
    The RAM I have in my PC now costs 300% of it's price... HDD's went up 30% in price, I just wanted a NAS :c

    My PC died in May. Glad it happened before this price craziness otherwise I wouldn’t have been able to get the little monster I have now.

  • Another sales pitch just got invented...

  • @barbarza said:

    @magicvpn said:
    The RAM I have in my PC now costs 300% of it's price... HDD's went up 30% in price, I just wanted a NAS :c

    My PC died in May. Glad it happened before this price craziness otherwise I wouldn’t have been able to get the little monster I have now.

    People were calling me stupid for paying 200 Euro for 64 DDR5 RAM, look who is laughing now (not me bcs Im still poor)

    Thanked by 1barbarza
  • @barbaros said: People were calling me stupid for paying 200 Euro for 64 DDR5 RAM

    I paid about that for 96GB, now on 128GB, sadly got rid of my previous 64 and 96GB kit's though, there goes my profit! x)

    Thanked by 1barbaros
  • plumbergplumberg Veteran, Megathread Squad

    @Saragoldfarb said:

    @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    @plumberg

    See? Told ya, them atoms are a true bargain!

    My is ❤️ Atoms
    ReliableSite.Net and Scaleway

  • €10.98 baguette 2026 confirmed

    Thanked by 1itzgeo
  • However, OVH still has a large number of machines using DDR3 and DDR4 memory — they just found an excuse to raise prices, that’s all.

  • so we'll have to pay in advance to secure our current price? and maybe, to set a longer commitment period?

  • Will they give us a discount when the AI datacenter bubble crashes and RAM is almost free? No.

    Thanked by 1itzgeo
  • Every excuse to rise prices is good one.
    Think I will keep my baguettes for longer than expected.

  • SaragoldfarbSaragoldfarb Member, Megathread Squad

    @plumberg said:

    @Saragoldfarb said:

    @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    @plumberg

    See? Told ya, them atoms are a true bargain!

    My is ❤️ Atoms
    ReliableSite.Net and Scaleway

    Always and Forever! <3

    Thanked by 2plumberg nghialele
  • plumbergplumberg Veteran, Megathread Squad

    @Saragoldfarb said:

    @plumberg said:

    @Saragoldfarb said:

    @fiberstate said:
    Word on the street is that the DRAM shortage is so severe that resellers are now getting requests to buy up old DDR3 inventory. It may take some time, but even older hardware is expected to see a surge in demand, and this will certainly have an impact.

    @plumberg

    See? Told ya, them atoms are a true bargain!

    My is ❤️ Atoms
    ReliableSite.Net and Scaleway

    Always and Forever! <3

    Which was the €5/ m dedi you got last year?

    Thanked by 1nghialele
  • its joever

  • Scaling down for RAMageddon:

    # ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## #
    #              Yet-Another-Bench-Script              #
    #                     v2025-04-20                    #
    # https://github.com/masonr/yet-another-bench-script #
    # ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## ## #
    
    Wed Nov 26 11:59:44 PM CET 2025
    
    Basic System Information:
    ---------------------------------
    Uptime     : 0 days, 0 hours, 56 minutes
    Processor  : Intel(R) Atom(TM) CPU  C2338  @ 1.74GHz
    CPU cores  : 2 @ 1750.049 MHz
    AES-NI     : ✔ Enabled
    VM-x/AMD-V : ✔ Enabled
    RAM        : 3.8 GiB
    Swap       : 2.0 GiB
    Disk       : 114.8 GiB
    Distro     : Ubuntu 24.04.3 LTS
    Kernel     : 6.8.0-88-generic
    VM Type    : NONE
    IPv4/IPv6  : ✔ Online / ❌ Offline
    
    IPv4 Network Information:
    ---------------------------------
    ISP        : SCALEWAY
    ASN        : AS12876 SCALEWAY S.A.S.
    Host       : ONLINE
    Location   : Paris, Île-de-France (IDF)
    Country    : France
    
    fio Disk Speed Tests (Mixed R/W 50/50) (Partition /dev/sda3):
    ---------------------------------
    Block Size | 4k            (IOPS) | 64k           (IOPS)
      ------   | ---            ----  | ----           ----
    Read       | 58.02 MB/s   (14.5k) | 78.64 MB/s    (1.2k)
    Write      | 58.11 MB/s   (14.5k) | 79.06 MB/s    (1.2k)
    Total      | 116.13 MB/s  (29.0k) | 157.71 MB/s   (2.4k)
               |                      |
    Block Size | 512k          (IOPS) | 1m            (IOPS)
      ------   | ---            ----  | ----           ----
    Read       | 96.30 MB/s     (188) | 105.67 MB/s    (103)
    Write      | 101.42 MB/s    (198) | 112.71 MB/s    (110)
    Total      | 197.72 MB/s    (386) | 218.39 MB/s    (213)
    
    iperf3 Network Speed Tests (IPv4):
    ---------------------------------
    Provider        | Location (Link)           | Send Speed      | Recv Speed      | Ping
    -----           | -----                     | ----            | ----            | ----
    Clouvider       | London, UK (10G)          | 442 Mbits/sec   | busy            | 7.68 ms
    Eranium         | Amsterdam, NL (100G)      | 408 Mbits/sec   | 936 Mbits/sec   | 12.0 ms
    Uztelecom       | Tashkent, UZ (10G)        | 412 Mbits/sec   | 124 Mbits/sec   | 188 ms
    Leaseweb        | Singapore, SG (10G)       | 410 Mbits/sec   | 506 Mbits/sec   | --
    Clouvider       | Los Angeles, CA, US (10G) | 411 Mbits/sec   | 135 Mbits/sec   | 144 ms
    Leaseweb        | NYC, NY, US (10G)         | 427 Mbits/sec   | 586 Mbits/sec   | 72.8 ms
    Edgoo           | Sao Paulo, BR (1G)        | 397 Mbits/sec   | 99.6 Mbits/sec  | 158 ms
    
    Geekbench 6 Benchmark Test:
    ---------------------------------
    Test            | Value
                    |
    Single Core     | 140
    Multi Core      | 251
    Full Test       | https://browser.geekbench.com/v6/cpu/15251679
    
    YABS completed in 56 min 37 sec
    
    Thanked by 1loay
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